Week 10 - Video Link & Picks
https://clipchamp.com/watch/f0hwQgzZydo
Last Week: 2-5 (ouch) Season: 23-27 (ouch)
Special Guest this week: John Smoltz
Notre Dame -3 (at Clemson)
Clemson continues to find ways to lose games and are 4-4 on the season. Dabo is getting heat from all over the place and this is the first time in a long time that the Tigers have faced real adversity. Quarterback Kade Klubnik hasn’t panned out so far this season as he has become a turnover machine. The fighting Irish are a very quality football team who is battled tested and 6-2 on the season. Vegas surprisingly has this as a low number but I feel that is a mistake but Notre Dame is the better team by a solid margin and it’s time to admit that Clemson is not good. I expect Notre Dame to put up a better fight than Tyler from Spartanburg, so give me the Irish to cover the 3.
Nebraska -3 (at Michigan State)
I’m taking another road favorite and it sickens me to do so but my gut tells me that Vegas is wrong again. Matt Rhule has got the children of the corn playing some solid football where Sparty has been terrible and just got routed by their rival Michigan. I think Nebraska’s arrow is pointing up as they play hard every week and are striving to make a bowl game. Michigan State’s arrow is pointing towards basketball season and I just don’t see the motivation here. Give me the Cornhuskers -3 on the road.
Baylor -3 (home v. Houston)
Houston has been terrible on the road as they are 0-3. They lost to Rice in overtime, lost to Texas Tech by 21 points, and last week lost to Kansas State by 41 and didn’t even score. Baylor has been almost as equally bad at home (key word almost). The Bears are 1-5 at home with their sole win coming against a bunch of misfits from Long Island. However, the Bears have faced some tough opponents at home that can at least explain a few of those 5 losses (but nothing can explain losing at home to Texas State!). In a battle between a couple of 3-5 teams, I think Baylor sucks less so give me the Bears to cover the 3 at home.
USC +3 (home v. Washington)
Both of these teams have been on the struggle bus lately. Washington is still undefeated but after a thrilling victory over Oregon, the Huskies barely outlasted Arizona State at home while not even scoring an offensive touchdown, and only beat an awful Stanford team by a touchdown last week. USC has had their hands full 5 weeks in a row, going 3-2 in that stretch with close wins over Colorado, Arizona, and surviving a failed two-point conversion last week vs. Cal; and a blowout loss to Notre Dame and a 2 point loss to Utah. The Trojan defense has been terrible all season but they are at home and they are the more desperate team. Remember only one of their losses was a conference loss so the Trojans still have a chance at the Pac-12 championship. That makes this game a must win and something tells me the Trojans might have their best game of the season while Washington seems ripe for a loss. A home team getting points, what’s better than that? I like the Trojans to win at home.
Alabama -3 (home v. LSU)
Back in September before Alabama hosted Texas, I wrote an article on how Nick Saban was the GOAT and never lost at home. Well they have one loss on the season and it was at home to Texas. Afterwards, Saban said his team failed the mid-term and they needed to get better for the final. Well the final is here as they host LSU. If the Tide lose, this season will be considered a failure. The winner of this game is a virtual lock to win the SEC West and make the SEC championship game in Atlanta. LSU might have the best offense in the country but their defense ranks 92nd in explosive pass allowed. Quarterback Jalen Milroe and the Tide offense rank 11th in explosive passes. I think that will be a distinct advantage for the Tide and expect Alabama to play their best game of the season. Plus Nick Saban didn’t become the GOAT by losing games like this. I like the Alabama Crimson Tide to beat LSU at home.